A probability is given as . Write it in scientific notation, as a percentage, and in the form "1 chance in ".
Move the decimal point to make a mantissa between 1 and 10. Starting from , sliding the point right past the eight leading zeros lands on . Each rightward step divides by , so eight steps must be compensated by :
The requirement is what fixes the exponent uniquely — is the same number but not in standard form.
Check the conversion by expanding.
Counting the zeros confirms eight decimal places before the .
Convert to a percentage. A percentage is the number multiplied by , which shifts the point two places right (or raises the exponent by ):
The percent sign is not decoration here: writing would be a hundredfold error.
Express it as odds. "One chance in " means :
so the event is about 1 in 82.6 million — a far more intuitive statement of the same figure.
Note the significant figures. Only the digits , , carry information; the eight leading zeros are placeholders. So the value has three significant figures, and rounding it to (about 1 in 83 million) is the two-figure version.
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