Statistics · real student question

A grid has 44 cells, of which 30 are blank. If one cell is chosen at random, what is the probability that it is blank?

Question

A grid contains 4444 cells, of which 3030 are blank. One cell is chosen uniformly at random. What is the probability that the chosen cell is blank?

Step-by-step solution

  1. Identify the sample space and the favourable set. Every cell is equally likely, so the sample space has 4444 equally likely outcomes and the favourable set — the blank cells — has 3030 members. Equal likelihood is what licenses the counting formula in the next step; without it, counting would not be enough.

  2. Apply the classical probability formula.

    P(blank)=number of blank cellstotal number of cells=3044P(\text{blank}) = \frac{\text{number of blank cells}}{\text{total number of cells}} = \frac{30}{44}

  3. Reduce the fraction. Both numerator and denominator are even, and gcd(30,44)=2\gcd(30,44) = 2:

    3044=1522\frac{30}{44} = \frac{15}{22}

    This is fully reduced because 15=3×515 = 3 \times 5 and 22=2×1122 = 2 \times 11 share no prime factor.

  4. Convert to a decimal and a percentage.

    1522=0.6818181868.18%\frac{15}{22} = 0.681818\overline{18} \approx 68.18\%

    The repeating block 1818 appears because 22=2×1122 = 2 \times 11 contains the prime 1111, which is not a factor of 1010.

  5. Check with the complement. There are 4430=1444 - 30 = 14 non-blank cells, so P(not blank)=1444=7220.3182P(\text{not blank}) = \tfrac{14}{44} = \tfrac{7}{22} \approx 0.3182. The two probabilities sum to 1522+722=1\tfrac{15}{22} + \tfrac{7}{22} = 1 exactly, as they must.

Answer

P(blank)=3044=15220.6818=68.18%P(\text{blank}) = \frac{30}{44} = \frac{15}{22} \approx 0.6818 = 68.18\%

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