Statistics · real student question

For the sample with scores 1, 2, 3, find the 95 percent confidence interval about the sample mean.

Question

For the sample with scores 11, 22, 33, find the 95%95\% confidence interval about the sample mean.

Step-by-step solution

  1. Compute the sums first. n=3n = 3, X=6\sum X = 6, X2=1+4+9=14\sum X^2 = 1 + 4 + 9 = 14. From these:

    Xˉ=63=2,SS=14623=1412=2\bar{X} = \frac{6}{3} = 2, \qquad SS = 14 - \frac{6^2}{3} = 14 - 12 = 2

  2. Get ss and the standard error. Divide SSSS by n1=2n-1 = 2:

    s2=22=1,s=1,sXˉ=sn=13=0.57735s^2 = \frac{2}{2} = 1, \quad s = 1, \quad s_{\bar{X}} = \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} = \frac{1}{\sqrt{3}} = 0.57735

    The n\sqrt{n} division is essential — leaving it out is what produces the widest distractor below.

  3. Use tt, not zz, and get the right df. With n=3n = 3 the degrees of freedom are df=2df = 2, and the two-tailed 95%95\% critical value is

    t0.025,2=4.3027t_{0.025,\,2} = 4.3027

    This is far larger than z=1.96z = 1.96; with only two degrees of freedom the tt distribution has very heavy tails.

  4. Build the interval.

    Xˉ±tsXˉ=2±4.3027×0.57735=2±2.4849\bar{X} \pm t\,s_{\bar{X}} = 2 \pm 4.3027 \times 0.57735 = 2 \pm 2.4849

    LL=0.4841,UL=4.4841LL = -0.4841, \qquad UL = 4.4841

    So the interval is roughly 0.48-0.48 to 4.484.48.

  5. Compare with the offered options. The choices 2.30-2.30 to 6.306.30, 0.43-0.43 to 3.433.43 and 1.201.20 to 2.802.80 all miss. In particular 2.30-2.30 to 6.306.30 is 2±4.3027×12 \pm 4.3027 \times 1 — the same tt value applied to ss instead of sXˉs_{\bar{X}}, i.e. the missing 3\sqrt{3}. Since none matches (0.48, 4.48)(-0.48,\ 4.48), the correct response is "none of the other alternatives are correct".

  6. Interpret the width. An interval stretching from below zero to almost 4.54.5 around a mean of 22 is the honest cost of n=3n = 3: three observations simply cannot locate a mean precisely. Verification: 4.3027×0.57735=2.484904.3027 \times 0.57735 = 2.48490, and 22.48490=0.484902 - 2.48490 = -0.48490, 2+2.48490=4.484902 + 2.48490 = 4.48490 ✓.

Answer

0.48μ4.48  (none of the listed options)-0.48 \le \mu \le 4.48 \;\text{(none of the listed options)}

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