Statistics · real student question

In a survey of 1438 multigenerational households, the skip-generation column contains 53 White, 5 Hispanic, 34 Black and 7 Asian families, for a column total of 99. What is the probability that a randomly selected multigenerational family is White, given that it is a skip-generation family? Round to three decimal places.

Question

A survey of 14381438 multigenerational households is cross-classified by race and by household type:

2 Adult Gens2 Skip Gens3 or More GensTotal
White50753226786
Hispanic1415146292
Black11434102250
Asian66737110
Total828995111438

What is the probability that a randomly selected family is White, given that it is a skip-generation family? Round to three decimal places.

Step-by-step solution

  1. Identify which variable is the condition. The words "given that it is a skip-generation family" put skip generation after the bar, so you want

    P(WhiteSkip)=P(White and Skip)P(Skip)P(\text{White}\mid\text{Skip})=\frac{P(\text{White and Skip})}{P(\text{Skip})}

    This time the condition is a column, not a row, so the column total becomes the denominator.

  2. Read the column total. Summing the skip-generation column: 53+5+34+7=9953+5+34+7=99. That matches the printed total, so n(Skip)=99n(\text{Skip})=99.

  3. Read the joint cell. The White row meets the skip-generation column at 5353, so n(White and Skip)=53n(\text{White and Skip})=53.

  4. Divide with counts instead of proportions. Because both the numerator and the denominator would be divided by the same 14381438, the grand total cancels and you can work directly with counts:

    P(WhiteSkip)=53/143899/1438=5399=0.53530.535P(\text{White}\mid\text{Skip})=\frac{53/1438}{99/1438}=\frac{53}{99}=0.5353\ldots\approx 0.535

    0.535\boxed{0.535}

  5. Note that the reverse conditional is different. P(SkipWhite)=537860.067P(\text{Skip}\mid\text{White})=\tfrac{53}{786}\approx 0.067, nowhere near 0.5350.535. Swapping the two events in a conditional probability changes the answer, so always check which count belongs on the bottom.

Answer

P(WhiteSkip)=53990.535P(\text{White}\mid\text{Skip})=\dfrac{53}{99}\approx 0.535

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