Statistics · real student question

Test completion times are normally distributed with a mean of 58 minutes and a standard deviation of 12 minutes. By what time have 90% of students finished?

Question

The times students take to complete a test are normally distributed with a mean of 5858 minutes and a standard deviation of 1212 minutes.

Find the time by which 90%90\% of students complete the test.

Step-by-step solution

  1. Recognise this as an inverse-normal problem. You are given a probability and asked for the value — the opposite of the usual "find the probability" direction. In symbols, find xx with

    P(Xx)=0.90,XN(μ=58, σ=12)P(X \le x) = 0.90, \qquad X \sim N(\mu = 58,\ \sigma = 12)

  2. Look up the zz-score for the 90th percentile. From a standard normal table or calculator,

    z0.901.2816z_{0.90} \approx 1.2816

    (Many textbooks round this to 1.281.28; the difference shifts the final answer by about 0.020.02 minutes.)

  3. Convert the zz-score back to the original units. Rearranging z=xμσz = \frac{x-\mu}{\sigma} gives

    x=μ+zσx = \mu + z\sigma

  4. Substitute and evaluate.

    x=58+1.2816×12=58+15.38=73.38 minutesx = 58 + 1.2816 \times 12 = 58 + 15.38 = 73.38 \text{ minutes}

  5. Sanity-check the direction. The 90th percentile must lie above the mean, and it does — about 1.281.28 standard deviations above. If your answer comes out below 5858, you have used z-z by mistake.

Answer

x73.38 minutesx \approx 73.38 \text{ minutes}

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