Finance · real student question

Land is worth 381,620,000 baht on 2 September 2024 and its price grows 4% per year. What will it be worth on 1 January 2025?

Question

Land is worth 381,620,000381{,}620{,}000 baht on 2 September 2024, and land prices grow at 4%4\% per year. What will the land be worth on 1 January 2025?

Step-by-step solution

  1. Count the days between the two dates exactly. From 2 September to 30 September is 2828 days, then October 3131, November 3030 and December 3131, and one more day to reach 1 January: 28+31+30+31+1=12128 + 31 + 30 + 31 + 1 = 121 days. Guessing "about four months" would already cost several hundred thousand baht.

  2. Express the holding period as a fraction of a year.

    t=121365=0.331507 yearst = \frac{121}{365} = 0.331507\ \text{years}

  3. Use the compound-growth formula with a fractional exponent. A rate quoted "per year" compounds continuously across the year, so the growth factor over a partial year is (1+r)t(1+r)^t, not 1+rt1 + rt:

    V=P(1+r)t=381,620,000(1.04)121/365V = P(1+r)^t = 381{,}620{,}000\,(1.04)^{121/365}

  4. Evaluate the growth factor to full precision.

    (1.04)0.331507=e0.331507ln1.04=e0.0130018=1.01308683(1.04)^{0.331507} = e^{0.331507 \ln 1.04} = e^{0.0130018} = 1.01308683

    Rounding this factor to 1.01311.0131 before multiplying is the step where accuracy is usually lost.

  5. Multiply and report.

    V=381,620,000×1.01308683=386,614,195 bahtV = 381{,}620{,}000 \times 1.01308683 = 386{,}614{,}195\ \text{baht}

    The gain is about 4.994.99 million baht, roughly one third of a full year's 4%4\% growth (15.2615.26 million) — consistent with t0.33t \approx 0.33.

  6. Note the effect of the premature rounding. Using the four-decimal factor 1.01311.0131 instead gives 386,618,622386{,}618{,}622 baht, about 4,4004{,}400 baht too high. Carry the factor to at least eight significant figures when the principal runs into the hundreds of millions.

Answer

V=381,620,000(1.04)121/365386,614,195 bahtV = 381{,}620{,}000\,(1.04)^{121/365} \approx 386{,}614{,}195\ \text{baht}

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