A cup of freshly poured coffee has a temperature of and is left on a table in a room whose temperature is . After minutes the coffee has cooled to .
Set up the differential equation. Newton's law of cooling says the rate of cooling is proportional to how far the object is above its surroundings, not to its temperature itself:
Separating variables and integrating gives the standard solution
since .
Use the 10-minute reading to find . This is the only unknown in the model, and one data point pins it down:
Get the 20-minute temperature without ever using the decimal . Because , the exponential simply squares:
Keeping the exact fraction avoids the rounding drift you get from .
Solve for the time to reach . Set :
Sanity-check the two answers against each other. The coffee loses in the first 10 minutes but only about in the second 10 minutes () — decreasing losses are exactly what an exponential approach to room temperature predicts. And is only above the room, so it should take a long tail of time to get there; minutes is consistent. The coffee never actually reaches in finite time, because for all .
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