statistics

Student's t-distribution

The t-distribution is bell-shaped like the normal but with heavier tails. Used for inference about means when sample size is small or σ is unknown.

Student's t-distribution is a continuous probability distribution that resembles the normal — bell-shaped, symmetric — but with heavier tails. It depends on a parameter called degrees of freedom (df).

When to use it: inference about a population mean when (1) population standard deviation σ\sigma is unknown (estimated from sample as ss), AND (2) sample size nn is small.

The t-statistic: t=xˉμ0s/nt = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu_0}{s/\sqrt{n}} follows a t-distribution with n1n - 1 degrees of freedom.

Properties: as dfdf \to \infty, t-distribution converges to standard normal N(0,1)N(0, 1). For df<30df < 30, heavy tails meaningfully widen confidence intervals — you "pay" for not knowing σ\sigma.

History: developed by William Gosset at Guinness Brewery (publishing under "Student" because Guinness banned employee publications). Underlies t-tests (one-sample, two-sample, paired) and CIs for means with unknown variance.